Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Do Means Mean?
Update In order that it does not get lost over the weekend, part two of this post will run on Sunday. This is part one of a two part post,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Alternative To P-Values
I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
Posted inStatistics
On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer
"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
Posted inStatistics
The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery
This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
Posted inStatistics
Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming
This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
Posted inStatistics
How The 95% IPCC Certainty Falls To The Ground
Busy times at the Briggs ranch. The Evidence series will continue next week. For now, some IPCC fun. The Consensus says its 95% sure that the man has caused the…
Posted inStatistics
Too Damn Sure: The Epidemiologist Fallacy
Introduction Marchmain Pharmaceuticals distributes profitizol, said to cure the screaming willies. To assess that claim, Marchmain assembled volunteers suffering this dread malady. Each provided his address, which was used to…
Posted inStatistics
“Probably Fine” Isn’t A Number
Today's headline is a true proposition. "Probably fine" isn't a number, yet it is a perfectly reasonable way to communicate risk. Indeed most risk is, and should be, given in…