Posted inStatistics
EPA’s Climate Change Adaptation Plan
The EPA has asked for my advice.1 They will not listen to, or harken, or act on this advice, but asking for it gives them a sense that they have…
Posted inStatistics
Lightning May Cause Headaches, Moon May Cause Domestic Intranquility
I have discovered a statistically significant correlation between phases of the moon and domestic harmony. Every day for several months I filled out the Domestic Harmony Inventory (DHI), a scientifically…
Posted inStatistics
A Citizen’s Guide to Global Warming Evidence
Was it only me? I thought Chicken Little dead. After all, when was the last time we heard competent authority shouting "Only the government can stop the sky from falling!"?…
Posted inStatistics
Anthropogenic Forcing Signals Not Significant? New Polynomial Cointegration Test Paper
I have been asked by a number of people to comment on a new paper that purportedly shows that "statistical tests for global warming fails to find statistically significantly anthropogenic…
Posted inFun Statistics
Predictions 2013—Register Yours Today!
Time for our annual guessing game about what's to come for 2013. The predictions we made for 2012 will be posted and analyzed tomorrow. We have one week to enter…
Posted inStatistics
Do Heat Waves Cause Birth Defects?
What would you name a paper which purports to discover that heat waves stress pregnant women and thus cause birth defects but which never once measures the actual exposure of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example
How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
Posted inCulture
More Consequences: The Way The World Looks
Joke Saddest part of this joke is that anybody under 40 won't get it. https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/266312123884380160 Expectations Got this spam in my Inbox yesterday: The movie industry shows their support to…