Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part II
Read Part I Cap & Trade & Tax & Spend is not dead. It was never even ailing. It's healthy and alert and standing in the corner, unnoticed. It has…
Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I
Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…
Posted inStatistics
Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II
Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…
Posted inStatistics
Phil Jones and the Lack of Warming; Or, Die, Statistical Significance, Die
According to the stunning New York Times headline, which quoted climatologist Phil Jones, there has been no "statistically significant" global warming in the past 15 years. Just kidding! The Times…
Posted inStatistics
Phil Jones, I accept!
The other day, I asked Phil Jones and other climate scientists to rebuke some of their foaming-at-the-mouth colleagues for their inappropriate use of language. While I'm still awaiting a response---it…
Posted inStatistics
Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill
David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…
Posted inFun
Monday Moanin’
I stole that title from the late Bob Talbert, an everyman columnist from the late, or possibly undead, Detroit Free Press. He would use that title whenever he had a…
Posted inStatistics
What Do Barney Miller and IPCC chief Rajendra Pachauri Have In Common?
In 1977, on the Barney Miller episode "Blizzard"---for those under 40: a cop sitcom---a man who was poking people with a sharp stick was arrested. The man wanted to bring…