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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ivy League Climate Skeptics

I received this email from Rob Fishman at the Huffington Post. My answer follows. I'm the social media editor here at HuffPost (and a Cornell alum). I came across your…
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Posted inFun

Ecoheroes For the Climate Join Global Warming Superheroes!

Remember Global Warming Superheroes? A site where I---cough, cough---made villain of the day? While glancing through my logs, I was led to Timberati: Reasonably green thoughts. The folks there were…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Is Like A Criminal Trial

What is A crime has been committed. Evidence---probative background information---points to a list of suspects, a list which, as always, might be incomplete. A most likely candidate is made to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A “Statistically Significant Trend”?

Longtime reader Nate Winchester found a discussion---among the many, many---of global warming data revolving around statistics, from which we take the following snippet: You just do the statistics on the…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming Causes Death

Work is catching up to me this week, so today only the briefest of reports, with the promise of a return to regularity after this weekend. Also keep those post…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

The Great Global Warming Blunder by Roy W. Spencer

The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World's Top Climate Scientists by Roy W. Spencer This book was given to me for review by the publisher. Clouds…
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Posted inStatistics

Influential Forecasts

If I tell you that the price of a stock is going to increase and you believe me enough to rush out and buy that stock, the price of that…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I’m Happy To Help, Judith Curry: Overconfidence In IPCC’s Detection And Attribution

Thanks to reader Roger Cohen for brining this to my attention. Atmospheric scientist Judith Curry recently ran a series of blog posts entitled, "Overconfidence in IPCC’s detection and attribution." In…
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