Apologies to regular readers, but I got real busy the past few days. So just a mini-update on our model, which will be useful for making a couple of small…

We are weeks behind in Doom. Doom other than the virus, that is. Here's a small attempt to catch up. Item Taylor Marshall reports "Yes, so Bishops are officially 'commissioning…

A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…

We have reached the point most authorities are pretending to forget the difference between infections, "cases", and deaths. Deaths have dropped to bottom levels, but because of huge increases in…

This idependent article shows how confusing counting coronavirus deaths are. Regular readers, no Doom tomorrow. This is going to be a preliminary investigation into the COVID-19 numbers being presented hourly…

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…