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Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback
Posted inStatistics

Mini-Coronavirus Update: The Blamestorm Is On Its Way: Fauci Walkback

Apologies to regular readers, but I got real busy the past few days. So just a mini-update on our model, which will be useful for making a couple of small…
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The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition

Here are two weeks of Doom crammed into one. Item Bombs away! Either it's WWIII or just one more dead body in the Mideast pleasing the usual suspects. Ben Shapiro…
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The Week In Doom: There Will Be Priestesses Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Week In Doom: There Will Be Priestesses Edition

We are weeks behind in Doom. Doom other than the virus, that is. Here's a small attempt to catch up. Item Taylor Marshall reports "Yes, so Bishops are officially 'commissioning…
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Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Chick-Fil-A’s Cuck-A-Doodle-Do Edition

Item This is what happened first: Chick-fil-A To Stop Donations To Charities With Anti-LGBT Views As Chick-fil-A expands globally and into more liberal parts of the U.S., the chicken chain…
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Coronavirus Update XXXII — Melbourne: The Guntowers Are There For Your Protection. UK’s Re-Panic, USA Deaths, More!
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXXII — Melbourne: The Guntowers Are There For Your Protection. UK’s Re-Panic, USA Deaths, More!

We have reached the point most authorities are pretending to forget the difference between infections, "cases", and deaths. Deaths have dropped to bottom levels, but because of huge increases in…
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Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
Posted inStatistics

Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics

A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…
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Winnowing the COVID-19 Numbers — Guest Post by John Carver
Posted inStatistics

Winnowing the COVID-19 Numbers — Guest Post by John Carver

This idependent article shows how confusing counting coronavirus deaths are. Regular readers, no Doom tomorrow. This is going to be a preliminary investigation into the COVID-19 numbers being presented hourly…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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  1. NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025

    An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.

  2. FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025

    […] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…

  3. Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…

  4. spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…

  5. John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025

    Number seven just took the big sleep.

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