Statistics

We Get An I-Told-You-So On The J&J Vax: Also Taiwan Panic Projection Update

We warned you about the J&J vaccine. And now the FDA is warning you, too.

First a fond review of our warnings, then some news about the FDA’s cautions.

On 8 December 2021 readers were treated to the article “VAERS Shows J&J Vaxed Dying Much Earlier; Pfizer Likely Causing More Life Threatening Injuries In Young“. We first showed demographic and other similar reporting statistics were the same for coronadoom and other vaccines, proving that whatever use VAERS had in diagnosing injury from other vaccines, it likely had in discovering injury from coronadoom vaccines (go there to see the pictures).

We then showed this, the distribution of reported deaths after vaccination for the three main coronadoom vaccines:

I said, “It’s clear that people getting J&J are dying earlier. A lot earlier.”

After more confirmatory stats, we showed this, the age of life-threatening injury after vaccination.

I said “Pfizer is showing higher frequencies of life threatening illness for those under 17. This could be because Moderna and J&J aren’t being given, at all, to the young. Or it could be the Pfizer vax is harming the young.” And you can see J&J, except at the youngest, who were not receiving J&J, were still younger.

On 4 March 2022, we repeated the analysis. We started by verifying the reporting stats for doom and non-doom vaxes, and then came to this updated look at the age of reported death and vax manufacturer.

I said, “Those injected with J&J are dying younger than those with the other vexxies [sic]. Do you see it? See how the blue distribution shifts lower? Something different is happening with J&J.”

Again the age-injury shot:

Same story. Pfizer at the very youngest, because the others weren’t being given to the kiddies, but the same younger shift for J&J in non-kids.

Now today. Using numbers downloaded on 9 May 2022, the same two pictures (the confirmatory reporting stats are the same, too). Age and death first:

If anything the signal is now stronger. People taking J&J are being reported as dying younger than the other two.

Now age-injury:

Same story. No changes. Pfizer is associated with the youngest, because the others aren’t given to kiddies, but J&J still shifts younger for non-kids.

On 5 May 2022 a headline said “FDA restricts J&J’s COVID-19 vaccine due to blood clot risk“.

Today, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has limited the authorized use of the Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine to individuals 18 years of age and older for whom other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccines are not accessible or clinically appropriate, and to individuals 18 years of age and older who elect to receive the Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine because they would otherwise not receive a COVID-19 vaccine.

After conducting an updated analysis, evaluation and investigation of reported cases, the FDA has determined that the risk of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS), a syndrome of rare and potentially life-threatening blood clots in combination with low levels of blood platelets with onset of symptoms approximately one to two weeks following administration of the Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine, warrants limiting the authorized use of the vaccine.

They can’t bring themselves to ban it altogether, though (my emphasis):

“We recognize that the Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine still has a role in the current pandemic response in the United States and across the global community. Our action reflects our updated analysis of the risk of TTS following administration of this vaccine and limits the use of the vaccine to certain individuals,” said Peter Marks, M.D., Ph.D., director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. “Today’s action demonstrates the robustness of our safety surveillance systems and our commitment to ensuring that science and data guide our decisions. We’ve been closely monitoring the Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine and occurrence of TTS following its administration and have used updated information from our safety surveillance systems to revise the EUA.

If this is “closely monitoring”, when the signal was at least present before December of last year, why then I’m no Expert.

Which I am not. I am only a person with expertise. I do get an I Told You So, though, yes?

You will have also noticed the Experts didn’t specifically cop to deaths. That may take them a bit more courage.

Masked Panic

I’m not growing cocky, because one thing I obviously have zero expertise in is gauging the length of panics. Since the beginning, I have consistently underforecast the length lunacy could last, thinking sanity would restore itself much sooner than it did.

Same thing with my guess about Taiwan last week. I thought the panic would end sometime last or this week. Maybe, maybe not. More and more people are lining up to be tested, and still—still!—99.8% or so of the positive results are in people with NO SYMPTOMS (maybe 55%) or only mild symptoms. Yes, really.

Monday 9 May showed 40,263 positives, with 99.8% of folks having no reason for being tested. The small number of people dying, the news reports, were all sick to begin with. One example: “The youngest was a woman in her 40s who was unvaccinated, had a history of chronic lung disease and was recently treated for sepsis.” Nasty thing, sepsis. An older vaxxed man also died, also chronic lung problems.

I still have a shot of being right about panic timing. On 7 May the positive tests were 46,377 (also 99.8% had no reason for testing). A drop of about 6 thousand. So maybe this panic is on its way out after all.

Incidentally, Taiwan has a mask mandate. I’ll be glad to entertain all Experts who can show us how well masks have worked there. At the least, their efforts will provide comic relief. Even Taiwan’s CECC is saying it will, at last, relax the outdoor mandate in July. Why not now? Nobody knows, nobody asked. Taiwanese, like Americans, have great faith in the cheesy pieces of plastic cloth that have not stopped anything.

The real truth of it, in Taiwan and elsewhere, is the statement of this gentleman who caught the bug: “Chen…37…said that when he got Covid last month, he immediately felt afraid and ashamed”. Shame? Over catching a cold?

That is the fault of bad governance.

Because We Said So, Dammit

My favorite line in Expert-inflicted panic in China, which had better success crushing freedom than it does a contagious respiratory virus, is when a Chinaman asked why he was being persecuted over a mostly minor disease that spreads regardless of Expert efforts, an official answered “Stop asking me why, there is no why. We have to adhere to national guidelines.”

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Categories: Statistics

16 replies »

  1. If it’s Tuesday …

    The J&J issue … could it be a Denominator thing?

    The young are impatient and want to get it over with … one and done?

    Heard a report this morning about rising cases “across the country”
    But majority of cases are asymptomatic because of … the vexxines
    (Variants don’t have a thing to do with it – )

  2. “Stop asking me why, there is no why. We have to adhere to national guidelines.”

    There it is. The official mantra of all good leftists. Remember that when you try to debate one.

  3. john b()-

    Anecdotally I’ve heard the, “one-and-done,” comment echoed by a few around me.

  4. A people who spout “We have to adhere to national guidelines” have already conceded (or never had) their liberty. They are comfortable with authoritarianism.

    Probably unfair, but I say, let Taiwan (ROC) be absorbed by China (PRC), if it gets to that stage. To defend a people who don’t value liberty is rather pointless. There’s no cost or price worth paying for something that has no value.

  5. Yes – score one for yourself on J&J related reporting to date.

    On the other hand….. 😉 .. the population preferring the J&J over Moderna and its clones is/was significantly different from that picking Moderna etc, so I’m guessing that the chickens have not all hatched yet and would not want to predict the final outcome just yet.

    On the third hand (gripping?) I’d bet you are right on Taiwan – where the panic is over what’s happening on the mainland, not the island.

  6. My brother-in-law works for TaiPower, the national electric company in Taiwan. Last week he was scrambling to find a store that sold rapid, at-home tests because he needed them to be allowed to show up for work but all the stores were seeing massive lines and limited stock. He posted a story a couple days ago that stated their city had recorded fewer than 2000 positive test results the day before (99.75% mild or asymptomatic according to the article) and that citizens should go to one of the 1100 clinics in the city that are capable of follow up. So there were approximately 5 legitmately ill persons taxing these 1100 clinics. The collapse is coming, surely.

    The other fun thing is that the papers still refer to Covid as “Wuhan pneumonia”. Those damn racists!

    As for masks, they are worn at all times and all places. Belief in their efficacy is absolute and impervious to reality.

  7. I live in Taiwan and can vouch for the absolute belief in the masks–my wife is a local and completely opposed to the jib-jab. Ironically, I learned from your piece that Taiwan was going to relax outdoor-mask wearing, and when I told my better half, she, of course, already knew about it. She then told me she was going to keep on wearing the mask no matter what….
    Seeing how the “Stupid Clock” is easing up in July, I pray the ridiculous restriction on gym attendance for us CORONU heretics ends then as well.

  8. So she’s on board with the masking but not the jab? Mrs. KGB is fairly similar, although she actually began doubting the face diapers before mandates were actually lifted here in NYS. It could be that husband refused to wear one for the entire 2 years or she saw that everyone was getting it anyway. Everyone in our house caught it and had no issue, so maybe that was the difference, but back home the in-laws still cower in fear, despite not knowing a soul who has been truly ill.

  9. Like many in Taiwan, my wife often masked long before the scamdemic. The air quality here isn’t optimal and people have long masked when sick for the benefit of others. Didn’t take much to convince my spouse to avoid the jab. The wife and the mother-in-law won’t jab because my wife’s older brother died before his second birthday due to the polio jab.

  10. My wife typically wears a face covering when riding a scooter but that seems to be more about avoiding the sun and pollution. She’s not one of those who wore surgical masks in public a decade ago. She absolutely believed in them two years ago, even though I was often the only person in a store without one, but after two years of watching the coof come and go despite widespread mask wearing, it got hard to deny that they’re pointless theater.

    I’m hoping that the ROC relaxes quarantine guidelines soon. We haven’t been back in three years. Before that, it was yearly trips (I lived there for more than three years), but what’s the point in flying there only to spend 2-3 weeks under house arrest? Mom-in-law only has a single toilet at her place, which means we technically can’t stay there. It’s a mess. I have to say that my plans to retire in Taiwan are not as set in stone as they once were. I won’t live like that.

  11. You are wrong on two counts Briggs. First you are wrong in that Taiwan was somewhat successful in containing anything. They simply did not have a respiratory season to speak of, exactly like the rest of the Pacific region. This is where you are wrong the second time around. Since there is obviously DNA material that can be attributed to Sars-Cov2 and since the respiratory season has started, they will not only not back down, but they will up the crazy. The northern hemisphere Pacific region will of course tone it down in the summer, but winter is tarting up in Australia and New Zealand now. It will literally take the entire region another two years to get to where the rest of the world is now.

  12. @KGB
    I’ve been here for more than three decades, and what has happened to this island is a tragedy. All the things I loved about this place have either been taken away or destroyed. We, too, considered retiring here, but now can’t wait to get out. And our wanting to leave has nothing to do with the “threat” from the mainland. We wanted to get some land in the mountains and farm, but that’s never going to happen. The once great health care system has now become a total scam. The live-and-let-live attitude of the Taiwanese is gone as well. As I said, we want to leave, but where? We’ve been looking into the golden visa in Portugal for years now, but now we’re not so sure. It’s been so long since we’ve been back to the States that I’ve lost all my friends and family there.
    Prayer and fasting is what we have to do.
    As for retiring in Taiwan, although you don’t know me, and this advice is unsolicited, if I were you, I’d reconsider. Formosa isn’t what it once was.

  13. I made my first trip to Taiwan in 1997, spending a year. The changes have been dramatic, for sure. While it’s nice having left-turn signals at intersections, the regimentation of many things, and the unrelenting Confucian deference to authority, has sucked a good deal of the life out of things.

    My wife inherited a modest plot of land on Penghu when her father passed away a couple years ago. It’s still reasonably old-school over there, so we’ll see. Perhaps we’ll build something there.

  14. Thank you for your articles. Our family of Michiganders greatly appreciate them.
    MSD

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