Warning: I have not read all the papers on this subject. My experience is in these kinds of papers, which is to say, turning correlations into claims of causality. I…
My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…
In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
Stick with me today, my friends. There is an important lesson buried in the madness, with a wider application than is at first apparent. A reader asked me to look…