THE CLASS
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…
Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
Posted inFun
Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites
Tune in tomorrow to make your 2020 predictions! Results for 2019 coming Thursday. Reader Favorites Here were the Top 10 reader favorite posts of 2019, in which the numbers surprised…
Posted inStatistics
Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles
I used to review these papers in the hopes people would understand the old ways of doing statistics, in particular experiments on human subjects, were guaranteed to produce over-certainty. I…
Posted inCulture
Corruption Of All Authority: An Interim Doom Report
"Any organization not explicitly right-wing sooner or later becomes left-wing." This is, as everybody knows, Conquest's Second Law. It is a true law, as all modern experience shows. But it…
Posted inStatistics
Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit
Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…
Posted inStatistics
An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument
This is extracted from this set of papers, which should be read in full. An ordinary regression model is written mu = beta_0x_1 + ... + beta_0x_p, where mu…
Posted inClass Statistics
Example Of Bad Trend Analysis
These examples are from the BAMS article "Continental US Hurricane Landfall Frequency And Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks" by PhiliP J. Klotzbach, Steven G. Bowen, Roger Pielke JR., and…