Posted inStatistics
P-values vs. Bayes Is A False Dichotomy
There still exist defenders of p-values. The largest class, the superstitious, are those who remember nothing about p-values except that they must be wee. Let us in haste pass by…
Posted inClass Statistics
Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement
Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models
I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
Posted inStatistics
American Statistical Association Statement On Statistical Significance & P-values, With My Comments
Editorial Note: I had this originally scheduled to go Monday, but due to Stream's Creatorgate piece showing up yesterday, I delayed this by a day. I think I only have…
Posted inCulture
This Week In Doom: A Mighty, Doom-Laden Seven Days
Thank You Sir, I'll Have Another Homosexual Activists Tell Kim Davis: 'We Will Kidnap Your Husband, Tie Him Up And Force Him To Watch Us Raping You. We Will Burn…
Posted inStatistics
Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual
Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Alternative To P-Values
I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…