My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it’s time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well […]
Register Your Predictions for 2020!
As has been our tradition these many years, it’s time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Everybody should have […]
How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they needed to […]
Best Picture Oscar Winner: Model Prediction
For several years I have been predicting (with perfect accuracy) the best picture Oscar. (See this and this for past years.) The “model” pick for this year is Captain Phillips. Update The […]
He Did What?
Coming Soon! I’ve started a series called “What This-or-That Technique Really Is”. First up is regression. It would have shown today, but—can you guess?—it isn’t finished. I made the mistake of also […]
Help Wanted With Ideas For Survey About Who Will Win Presidency
It’s the start of the long, last week of summer (and since I’ve spent the bulk of it in San Francisco, there was no summer at all), where most of us will […]
Predictions For 2011. How’d We do?
Last January 1st I asked for everybody to provide verifiable predictions for the year. Time for reckoning! Tomorrow I’ll ask us to provide predictions for 2012, so hold off on these until […]
World Cup, Statistics, Movie Lines, Cracked, and Clubbing
USA 1, Small Island Nation 1 Fabio Capello, pictured left, shows us the tracks his tears took after Robert Green revealed his American sympathies by suspiciously letting a shot through—a shot so […]
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