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Making Up Data To Prove Models?
Posted inStatistics

Making Up Data To Prove Models?

There is this idea in statistics called the "bootstrap." The idea is not crazy, but it's not quite right either. Works like this: data comes in, and usually some parameterized…
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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Leighton Smith of New Zealand kindly had me on his podcast Wednesday. We discussed, among other matters, my book Everything You Believe Is Wrong. You know, the one my enemies…
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Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 
Posted inStatistics

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
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Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Posted inStatistics

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
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MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It
Posted inStatistics

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

The news, considered marvelous to some because it seems to confirm how good MRIs are at uncovering secrets of the brain, is that MRIs can predict "sexual orientation" with 92%…
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Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?
Posted inStatistics

Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?

So they fired and rehired or whatever the guy from OpenAI for obscure reasons. OpenAI did ChatGPT, the text simulator which will tell nasty jokes about white men but which…
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“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
Posted inStatistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
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  1. Hagfish Bagpipe on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    The earth is a spinning ball orbiting the sun in a limitless vacuum. Maybe. But maybe not. After seeing how…

  2. hudbwu on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 15, 2025

    > you have posited that nothing has become a cause, and it is impossible the absence of anything can become…

  3. Phil R on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    My earlier post was longish and probably wasn't that clear. I think two of the problems are a lack of…

  4. Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…

  5. C. P. Benischek on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…

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