Every scientist loves to say that of theories and models that are falsifiable are "scientific". Alas, this excludes by nature and in practice all models and theories used by scientists.…

I'm happy to report that we had a good crop of predictions for 2024. As is usual, I only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave.…

I have admitted many times, grudgingly, beginning long ago, that computer science guys are brilliant at marketing. That adjective is a woeful understatement. Genius, though so overused to be almost…

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…