Search Results for “prediction forecast”

All Forecasts, Predictions, & Prophecies Are Contingent

Yesterday I made the point that Jim Hansen's latest threat of doom was a conditional one. I also said that there was nothing wrong with this. And there isn't. Nothing…

Statistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Announcement: I wrote this Class for a general audience. Anybody can read it. And should if they are interested in Science. There's only a little notation, which can be ignored…

Statistics

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

On Monday, 5 January, we'll register new predictions. Don't put them here. I bring glad prognosticative tidings and am pleased to report we did slightly better this year than last.…

Statistics

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

I'm happy to report that we had a good crop of predictions for 2024. As is usual, I only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave.…

Fun

How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy

As usual, we had many predictions for 2023, too many to list them all. As before, I’ll only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave. For…

Culture

Forecast: Massive Increase In “Climate Change” Propaganda On Its Way

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. You have…

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How’d We Do On Our 2022 Predictions?

We had a great many predictions for 2022, so many that it would tedious for list them all. Therefore, to shorten this, I'll only highlight the best, or worst, or…

Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2021!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. We did…

John Pate on Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?October 9, 2026
Pretty much anything I write is for myself. I lack the discipline to keep a journal. One of my favourite…
hudbwu on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsOctober 8, 2026
Does a spematozoid have an aim? Then frustrating it's aim (by ejaculating wherever) would be harmful to the spermatozoid. Interesting…
John Jorgensen on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 6, 2026
It’s not the machines that are of concern but the models they run with great speed and access to huge…
James on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026
Assuming a 100% materialist world view, one must conclude that one's OWN thought processes are just so many particles exchanging…
Tellme on There Are No Such Thing As Gays (Or Transexuals)October 5, 2026
Other than impotent boys before puberty, and old men with low testosterone, all humans masturbate on purpose, or by accident.…