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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Posted by By Briggs April 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Contest Winner Announced!

Posted by By Briggs April 14, 2026
Continue Reading
The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
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Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving
Posted inFun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving! I’m grateful to all of you, especially those who support my work of freeing Science from gross over-certainty, thankful for what I’ve learned from you, for your patience,…
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The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Posted inStatistics

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine
Posted inStatistics

Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine

To head this book review, I asked Grok to create an image of the Antichrist in this third, and final, year of reigning over mankind. I asked the model to…
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Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I haven’t written for a year. Since Donald won his third term. The reason is because I wanted to see if he learned any lessons. Therefore, I had to watch…
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Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way

Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
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Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says Researcher
Posted inStatistics

Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says Researcher

Think about how great physics can become, Chanda Prescod-Weinstein (what a perfect name) asks us, if black women can be made to think like White men. She goes on and…
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On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”
Posted inStatistics

On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”

The title is lifted from an email I received, one of many asking me to look into the paper "A calibration of nucleic acid (PCR) by antibody (IgG) tests in…
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  1. C-Marie on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    "Memories flag, you see,....." , BUT the Holy Spirit does not flag at all , and He It was Who…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    Should these (percieved) inconsistencies negate the whole body of teaching? I once knew a couple who were profoundly opposed to…

  3. bmiller on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    What seems odd to me is that if he was once so fiercely committed to believing but concluded he was…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    I'm still hung up on the staff issue. It doesn't make much sense for someone to tell you not to…

  5. UK Economist Says the Quiet Part Out Loud: High Energy Prices are ‘Good for the Climate’ – Climate- Science.press on The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%April 15, 2026

    […] economist would recognise as market-based. Yet we are told, with straight faces, that the “97 per cent consensus” demands…

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