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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
October 26, 2026
Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
October 22, 2026
I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
October 21, 2026
Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
October 19, 2026
Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
September 17, 2026
PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
September 16, 2026
The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards
September 15, 2026
Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI
September 14, 2026
Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
September 10, 2026
Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast
September 9, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto

Posted by By Briggs October 26, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality

Posted by By Briggs October 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

A curious question made its way around the interwebs recently, and not for the first time. By itself, it does not appear to be that interesting. And it isn't, really.…
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UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Regular readers know I have been predicting our return to the 1970s (here and here). Not directly, you understand. There will be no bell-bottom pants or leisure suits, but only…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

A lot of conversations about the differences between the races go like this one about sex. "Briggs, somebody told me you said men are taller than women." I said it.…
Read More
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Might I beg you, if you find it useful, to show this article to those who are growing concerned or agitated about this story? Don't miss the ending. We hear…
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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

There is a great and terrible danger in being a strict immovable literalist and in insisting every word in the Bible as written is the inerrant absolute word of God.…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    I'm probably going to croak sometime within the next twenty years, but at least I have the pleasure of being…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    There are thousand year old machines in England still capable of running, though not in general use. I saw a…

  3. NLR on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    All of this is vast speculation. Is it possible for people to live much longer, hundreds of years? Maybe so.…

  4. John Pate on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 23, 2026

    The plasticity available in the brain and CNS is the confounding factor. Nature via nurture. What actually gets expressed is…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026

    Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?

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