Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given that we […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that “increased” means a combination of “linear increase” and […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part IV
Part I, II, III, IV, V. We have before us X1 to X156. We started by assuming that something, called T, caused these data to take the values it did. We agreed […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part V
Part I, II, III, IV, V. We started by assuming each X was measured without error, that each observation was perfectly certain. This is not always so for real X. It could […]
How To Cheat, Or Fool Yourself, With Time Series: Climate Example
Update This post of such importance, that it remains on top today. See below for more comments. Presented for your satisfaction, a way to cheat either yourself or others using time series. […]
Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update
Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it’s a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year’s tournament. Scores have been on the […]
Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part IV
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. It’s God All The Way Down Talk about causality without foreshadowing a tie to God […]
Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial
Remember when I said how you shouldn’t draw straight lines in time series and then speak of the line as if the line was the data itself? About how the starting point […]
Recent Comments