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Latest Articles
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That
Posted inStatistics

Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That

My enemies managed to change the spelling of Principal in the title. They are everywhere. Principal Component Analysis There is an extremely popular analytic technique called Principal Component Analysis, or…
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The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality
Posted inCulture

The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality

Marilyn "vos Savant" scored one major victory in her life. (More than most.) She correctly (copied? noodled?) the correct answer to the Monty Hall problem. Which by itself is only…
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The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo
Posted inCulture

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Last summer a pair of gentlemen came to interview me about the coronadoom. It was to be for the movie The Greatest Reset. Which is now out. (It's free, but…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

Previous post. We walk down the aisle this week. Today's lesson is: get married, have babies. ON THE SACRAMENT OF MATRIMONY 1 Now, we grant that by the sacraments men…
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The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting
Posted inStatistics

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re?…
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The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)
Posted inCulture

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

We met our favorite headline the other day: Climate Change Destroys World, Pregnant People Hardest Hit. A version of that headline rolls off the science press about weekly, now. They…
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The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid
Posted inCulture

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

You're sick. Not doing at all well. You go to a celebrated doctor (God bless you for trusting him) at a major hospital. Guy was recommended by many as knowing…
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Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?
Posted inCulture

Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?

To what extent do you owe loyalty to a once beloved friend, who in his youth was wise and sober and vigorous, but who has now descended into a kind…
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  1. Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…

  2. C-Marie on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    Sooo sad about Richard Dawkins. I just prayed for Holy Spirit revelation of Jesus Christ to him. Here is hoping…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    I once had an old freezer and I wasn't sure if it was working properly. Since at the time I…

  4. John Pate on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    Dawkins is leaning in to the idea that we've defined consciousness as what we are seeing the AI chatbots produce.…

  5. Phileas Frogg on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 5, 2026

    Push the Red button then order my entire family to do the same, because we are not obligated to risk…

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