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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Drunk Ex Husband, Hungry Girlfriend
Posted inCulture

Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Drunk Ex Husband, Hungry Girlfriend

Due to underwhelming demand, and something not entirely dissimilar to the silence of a distant clamour, I announce the periodic return of the Ask A Scientific Ethicist column. These columns…
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Banning Gas Cars Virtually To Eliminate Virgin Sacrifices To Gaia In California
Posted inCulture

Banning Gas Cars Virtually To Eliminate Virgin Sacrifices To Gaia In California

So Nancy Pelosi's nephew (once or whatever removed), the current and confirmed ruler of California, has banned sale of new gas cars in 2035. He does this by sheer will,…
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Vex-Caused Deaths In The UK
Posted inStatistics

Vex-Caused Deaths In The UK

Anon sends us to the UK's vex and no vex death data, which in the version I'm using was last updated in May. I'm using Table 2 from that report.…
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You, Dear Reader, Are An Extremist
Posted inStatistics

You, Dear Reader, Are An Extremist

We live in the Golden Age of Comedy. Need proof? Somebody said this imagery (embiggened one here) was like Hitler and Stalin had a baby. This could happen, too, because…
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Putin’s Third, And Final, Act — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Putin’s Third, And Final, Act — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There’s a play showing now but unlike most plays the third and last act hasn’t been fully written yet. But I think the first two have. A long time ago.…
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Coronadoom Update: Why Are Masks & Models Believed?
Posted inStatistics

Coronadoom Update: Why Are Masks & Models Believed?

Many off this week, out on their last grand chance to cling to summer. As is proper. So you might have missed a few juicy coroandoom items. Incidentally, we'll tackle…
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How Will You Know If Your Black Doctor Specializes In Diversity?
Posted inCulture

How Will You Know If Your Black Doctor Specializes In Diversity?

Regular readers know that because I have been working with doctors for twenty-some years, I often joke the best medical advice I can give is "Do not get sick." That…
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With Painted Nails, Toxic Femininity Squeezes Science
Posted inCulture

With Painted Nails, Toxic Femininity Squeezes Science

You and I, dear reader, have seen scores of lousy papers in Nature, and its subsidiary journals, over the years. The proportion of these science stink bombs is increasing, as…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    If the colors of the buttons reflect the same ideological sides they do in current discourse, then disappearing the blue…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

  3. Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…

  4. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…

  5. McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    “Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…

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