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William M. Briggs

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Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Marbles!

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
On Computing The Number Of The Beast
Posted inFun

On Computing The Number Of The Beast

And it was given him to give life to the image of the beast, and that the image of the beast should speak; and should cause, that whosoever will not…
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Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…
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Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments
Posted inStatistics

Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments

Ready to Follow The Science? Let's listen to the lamentations of its lecturers and lovers. The case against science is straightforward: much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply…
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How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains
Posted inStatistics

How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains

Yesterday I made the claim that academic psychology contained vastly more "banality, ephemera, and outright enforced mandatory quackery than real psychology." This was proved by a paper written by a…
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How Belief In Equality Destroys Intellect, Ruins Thought & Leads To Madness
Posted inCulture

How Belief In Equality Destroys Intellect, Ruins Thought & Leads To Madness

There is a peer-reviewed paper, with about sixty authors, almost all female, all ensconced comfortably in prominent Western academic institutions, ululating on the relative dearth of females in "psychological science."…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments Used Against The Incarnation
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments Used Against The Incarnation

Previous post. Another long couple of weeks ahead of us. Why did Our Lord become flesh? Our good saint leads off the best way. ARGUMENTS WHICH SEEM TO PROVE THAT…
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What Putin & Russia Want: A Historical Perspective — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

What Putin & Russia Want: A Historical Perspective — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I’ve been asked this a million times. ‘Who is Vlad?’ I keep answering that we do not (yet) know, because Vlad himself does not know who he is. Or rather,…
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I Have The Power To Slay With Words — And I Might Use It
Posted inCulture

I Have The Power To Slay With Words — And I Might Use It

I have the power! I can wound with a word. With two fell words, I can kill. A single sentence of mine can lay flat a city. What a whole…
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  1. Franco on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 22, 2026

    Probably my all time favorite has to be some variation of "War afflicts women and children most"

  2. Johnno on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 21, 2026

    That's a lot of words just to say Math is intrinsically patriarchal because statistics show boys are better than girls…

  3. Johnno on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 21, 2026

    They could host the matches in indoor arenas... but that would mean turning on the air conditioning, which means electricity,…

  4. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  5. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

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