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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: Christ Was Born Of A Virgin
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Christ Was Born Of A Virgin

Previous post. Hail Mary, full of grace. And so on. THAT IT BECAME CHRIST TO. BE BORN OF A VIRGIN 1 It is, of course, now plain that of necessity…
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The Consecration Of Russia Was Accepted — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Consecration Of Russia Was Accepted — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I have a problem. I still find myself convinced that the Consecration of Russia hasn’t happened, correctly that is, because I have yet to see the promised result (peace &…
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Celebrating The Court’s Common Sense — And Lamenting Its Mistake
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Celebrating The Court’s Common Sense — And Lamenting Its Mistake

The OSHA opinion is here: the "Health" opinion is here. We earlier went through the Fifth Circuit quashing the OSHA mandate. The Court ruled twice yesterday. Once on the OSHA…
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Science Is Not The Answer: Should We Coerce Covid Drugs Because Science?
Posted inPhilosophy

Science Is Not The Answer: Should We Coerce Covid Drugs Because Science?

I have been asked by several, several times, to start a Substack. I have no idea why clicking on a Substack article is different than clicking here. But this might…
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Women’s Bodies — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

Women’s Bodies — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 13 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. As before, this is a brief excerpt from a long chapter which investigates the feminine. You may also…
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Science Proves Unemployment Cures Covid — Coronadoom Update CXIV
Posted inStatistics

Science Proves Unemployment Cures Covid — Coronadoom Update CXIV

We still await the blessings or curses of the so-called Supreme Court. Since we don't know what they will do, we cannot say much about it. What I can do…
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The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model — The Dangerous Video YouTube Censors Don’t Want You To See!
Posted inPodcast Statistics

The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model — The Dangerous Video YouTube Censors Don’t Want You To See!

As we await the Supreme Court announcement on whether we are now slaves in the hands of Experts, or only will be at some future date, a small (large) talk.…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Jesus’s Human Nature
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Jesus’s Human Nature

Previous post. We took a couple of weeks off to celebrate the birth of Our Lord. We're back at it, so it might be best to review. THAT THE HUMAN…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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