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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Posted by By Briggs April 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working
Posted inStatistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…
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Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis
Posted inCulture

Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis

The obvious first stage in disease identification is noticing symptoms and their extent. This, for the United States, Michael Anton does with acumen and aplomb, in his New Criterion essay…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man

Previous post. A (blessedly?) short week. THAT THE ASSUMPTION OF HUMAN NATURE WAS MOST SUITED TO THE WORD OF GOD 1 From this it is also clear that the assumption…
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Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews
Posted inCulture

Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews

The commanding officer in any military unit is the number one factor in crew morale and success of the mission. He is more important than anything else by an order…
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Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice
Posted inCulture

Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice

A plea from Anon: The wife and I starting going through (in-person) RCIA classes at a local Roman Catholic parish when they started in the fall. I’m struggling with some…
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The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
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VAERS Shows J&J Vaxed Dying Much Earlier; Pfizer Likely Causing More Life Threatening Injuries In Young
Posted inStatistics

VAERS Shows J&J Vaxed Dying Much Earlier; Pfizer Likely Causing More Life Threatening Injuries In Young

The results are below. At top, I answer the silliest objections. OBJECTIONS "Briggs, you can't use VAERS for diagnosing Covid vax injury." That so? "It is so. VAERS is entirely…
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A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps
Posted inCulture Statistics

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

This is update CIX. Let's summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: "Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus". Taleb almost at…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…

  2. Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…

  3. JDinPA on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Cary D Cotterman: You’ve made a case, at most, for one or more of the nations of Western Europe going…

  4. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    unfortunately I think that is the reality....

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    There are only eight countries, apart from the U.S., that have nuclear weapons. Iran has (or had) missiles that could…

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