William M. Briggs

CDC Flashes Its Wee P At Us In Thin Effort To Uphold The Cult of the Mask: Coronavirus Update LVI

EXPERTS FLASH THEIR WEE P Masks are the uniform of the effeminate. You'll have heard by now of CDC's latest mask study, in which grown experts flash their wee p-values…

Statistics

The Expansion-Team Effect Guarantees A Plague Of Experts

We've discussed before the expansion-team effect. For newer readers, this is when a sport, like soccer, is gaining in popularity, the enthusiasm leading to the creation of new teams, like…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Sabellius On The Divinity Of Christ

Previous post. More common arguments against Jesus's divinity and their refutation. This chapter may be of service of those in the Muslim faith. THE OPINION OF SABELLIUS ON THE SON…

Culture

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Follow Greenhorn on Twitter---until he's purged. My wife and I entered the Black Hills from the south. It was a perfect time to be there, because all the snow and…

Statistics

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Right after yesterday's post on (again) why rationalism and reason fail as philosophies, and on their severe limitations, I read an article profiling Gerd Gigerenzer and his "simple rules". It…

Philosophy

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Fun quiz time! This is some data: x = c(0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1). Something caused that data to be. I know what it is,…

Statistics

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

VACCINE EFFICACY Long-time reader Steve Fettig asked me to look into the Reason [sic] article (by Bailey) "Vaccines Are 100% Effective at Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths", which is based…

Statistics

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

The debased political magazine The Lancet has released a massive report blaming poor health on Trump and white supremacy. Occult white supremacists have taken the role of unseen counter-revolutionaries in…

Tars Tarkas on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleMarch 23, 2026
IMHO, intelligence does not define moral worth. This seems to be the sticking point for people like the learned judge.…
Sid Porter on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleMarch 23, 2026
Tread carefully here Sarge. Buried deep in Belgian law it is probably illegal to criticize judges. I hear the waffles…
Brian (bulaoren) on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleMarch 23, 2026
The crime, of which Mr. Cofnast stands accused, is called "Noticing"; Steve Sailor wrote a book about it.
NLR on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleMarch 23, 2026
Of course, people are not equal and the judge is misusing his authority. But to be honest, I don't care…
Robert Arvanitis on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleMarch 23, 2026
You defend the point based on science. That is true, but the wrong basis. The correct basis is on the…

William M. Briggs

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

CDC Flashes Its Wee P At Us In Thin Effort To Uphold The Cult of the Mask: Coronavirus Update LVI

The Expansion-Team Effect Guarantees A Plague Of Experts

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Sabellius On The Divinity Of Christ

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification