William M. Briggs

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…

I stole that title, ripped it right off, word-for-word, from the Study Finds website, a source rich in The Science exaggerations. I pulled off this heist because I can't think…

A coincidence, or co-incidents, as we have discussed, is the joining together of two or more events that stick in your mind and call out for a causal connection. Here…

Am I wrong that we grow weary hearing about error-laden "climate change" science? I know I am, and have been. But what about you? When Trump won the first time…

We want Pr(Y|X) where Y is a question about the world and X all/everything/in toto of what we assume is probative. That's not what we get usually. But we should!…

Here's the propaganda headline: "Climate change is making it harder for us to sleep: Study". Which cannot be believed. Yet if they would have said "Climate change research making it…

I searched as diligently as I could, which of course means there might be somebody who could search better, but I found no evidence professional golfers develop Parkinson's Diseases (PD)…

I picked a lousy (slow, pre-Fourth) day to post a criticism of "IQ" last week, and badly titled it "Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)". Something like…