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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
After The Elections, The Book
November 4, 2026
The Solution To Evolution
November 2, 2026
Class 99: Entropy Part I
October 29, 2026
Book Update: Launch Date
October 28, 2026
Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
October 26, 2026
Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
October 22, 2026
I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
October 21, 2026
Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
October 19, 2026
Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
September 17, 2026
PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
September 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

After The Elections, The Book

Posted by By Briggs November 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Solution To Evolution

Posted by By Briggs November 2, 2026
Continue Reading
The Expansion-Team Effect Guarantees A Plague Of Experts
Posted inStatistics

The Expansion-Team Effect Guarantees A Plague Of Experts

We've discussed before the expansion-team effect. For newer readers, this is when a sport, like soccer, is gaining in popularity, the enthusiasm leading to the creation of new teams, like…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Sabellius On The Divinity Of Christ
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Sabellius On The Divinity Of Christ

Previous post. More common arguments against Jesus's divinity and their refutation. This chapter may be of service of those in the Muslim faith. THE OPINION OF SABELLIUS ON THE SON…
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South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn
Posted inCulture

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Follow Greenhorn on Twitter---until he's purged. My wife and I entered the Black Hills from the south. It was a perfect time to be there, because all the snow and…
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Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More
Posted inStatistics

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Right after yesterday's post on (again) why rationalism and reason fail as philosophies, and on their severe limitations, I read an article profiling Gerd Gigerenzer and his "simple rules". It…
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Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails
Posted inPhilosophy

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Fun quiz time! This is some data: x = c(0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1). Something caused that data to be. I know what it is,…
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Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV
Posted inStatistics

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

VACCINE EFFICACY Long-time reader Steve Fettig asked me to look into the Reason [sic] article (by Bailey) "Vaccines Are 100% Effective at Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths", which is based…
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Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump &  (You Guessed It) White Supremacy
Posted inStatistics

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

The debased political magazine The Lancet has released a massive report blaming poor health on Trump and white supremacy. Occult white supremacists have taken the role of unseen counter-revolutionaries in…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius

Previous post. Not knowing where else to put this, and this the Lord's day, a prayer request from a long-time reader. I know this might sound weird since I'm just…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on After The Elections, The BookNovember 4, 2026

    When will you auction the movie rights?

  2. C-Marie on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 3, 2026

    Interesting!! But the work Jesus gave us to do, is to teach all that He taught, including that He, Jesus,…

  3. NLR on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 3, 2026

    The part about a form being occupied applies to technology as well. Technology cannot be whatever people want it to…

  4. John Pate on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 2, 2026

    Scientism corrupts everything. The Theory of Evolution continues to evolve but, like gravity, evolution is a thing and it might…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 2, 2026

    As flies to wanton boys are we to evolutionists...

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