William M. Briggs

An Unneeded Prophecy: The Warning, Or The Illumination of Conscience

Long-time readers will know I'm a sucker for end-time prophecies, the subject being of obvious fascination (forecasts of every kind are my avocation). Every time a priest in his wisdom…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update XVIII –UPDATES: Ignore Orders, Experts & BS “Spikes” In New Cases

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…

Statistics

Supreme Court Rules Civil Rights Act Applies To Gender Theory, Sexual “Orientation”

When words lose their meaning, the people lose their freedom -- Confucius The Court's Madness The most disastrous soul-destroying decadence-guaranteeing family-wrecking society-ravaging legislation ever passed was the Civil Rights Act…

Culture

That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor

The anonymous letter, which can be regarded as in the public domain (it's been fully tweeted, line by line, for instance), is from a purported History Professor "of color" (she…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty

Previous post. We're still on poverty, for and against. ANSWERS TO THE ARGUMENTS BROUGHT FORWARD ABOVE AGAINST POVERTY 1 Now that these things have been seen, it is not difficult…

Culture

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Hard to summarize the week in doom. There is no consistency or coherence to anything. We have experts and the media telling us to go out and protest and not…

Culture

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

There are 1000 different things going on, and which threads are relevant? Which aren't? Who are the players? Let's start with the far left, the so-called progressive wing. These are…

Culture

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

Insurrectionists in Seattle have created an "autonomous zone". Many laugh about this. They shouldn't. The sniveling fools in official charge of that city---those that are not actively complicit in the…

Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…
JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025
How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.
Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025
I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…
Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025
So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

William M. Briggs

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?

Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

An Unneeded Prophecy: The Warning, Or The Illumination of Conscience

Coronavirus Update XVIII –UPDATES: Ignore Orders, Experts & BS “Spikes” In New Cases

Supreme Court Rules Civil Rights Act Applies To Gender Theory, Sexual “Orientation”

That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification