Statistics – Page 185 – William M. Briggs

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…

Fun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…

Culture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…

Culture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…

Statistics

Lancet Editor: Half Of Science Is Wrong. An Underestimate?

Half of science may be wrong? That may be an underestimate. But at least Richard Horton, the editor in chief of The Lancet, is in the right ballpark. Ballpark? That…

Statistics

Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed

The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…

Culture Statistics

The New Pew Religion Survey Isn’t What You Think (Probably)

Lot of chatter over the new Pew survey of religiosity, "Christians Decline Sharply as Share of Population; Unaffiliated and Other Faiths Continue to Grow". Main result: Christianity down, "nones" up.…

Culture Podcast Statistics

The Pontifical Academy’s Sustainablity Conference Podcast

CLICK HERE TO GET TO THE PODCAST Arrgh. I'm trying out a new podcasting plugin. It puts the podcasts into something-which-isn't-a-post and which is impossible to find. So here is…

Johnno on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
Hence we descriptively say in plural... a "calamity of victims." Or a "catastrophe of Expurts." Or an "academy of failures."…
Brian (bulaoren) on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
So, three circumlocutors walk into a bar...
Cary D Cotterman on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
When an academic paper has "intersectional," "decolonial," "disabilities," "intersect," "social," "structural," "injustices," and "diverse" in one sentence, you know you've…
Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…
C-Marie on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026
Sooo sad about Richard Dawkins. I just prayed for Holy Spirit revelation of Jesus Christ to him. Here is hoping…