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William M. Briggs

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Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
September 17, 2026
PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
September 16, 2026
The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards
September 15, 2026
Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI
September 14, 2026
Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
September 10, 2026
Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast
September 9, 2026
Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”
September 8, 2026
Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?
September 3, 2026
Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & Intelligence
September 1, 2026
Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The Species
August 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 97: The Goal Of Models

Posted by By Briggs October 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Book Update

Posted by By Briggs October 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
Posted inStatistics

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

Guns, which is to say the arms most commonly used, such as pistols, revolvers and rifles, very infrequently discharge accidentally. Rare incidents have been noted in which weapons fire when…
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The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
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Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving
Posted inFun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving! I’m grateful to all of you, especially those who support my work of freeing Science from gross over-certainty, thankful for what I’ve learned from you, for your patience,…
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The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Posted inStatistics

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine
Posted inStatistics

Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine

To head this book review, I asked Grok to create an image of the Antichrist in this third, and final, year of reigning over mankind. I asked the model to…
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Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I haven’t written for a year. Since Donald won his third term. The reason is because I wanted to see if he learned any lessons. Therefore, I had to watch…
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  1. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  2. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  3. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

  4. Cary Cotterman on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I just might buy a copy of the new edition, even though I already have the typo-ridden first one. I'll…

  5. Uncle Mike on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I lent my first copy to somebody? and they never returned it, so yes, I will buy a new one,…

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