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Latest Articles
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
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Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Posted by By Briggs February 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Posted by By Briggs February 4, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Hard to summarize the week in doom. There is no consistency or coherence to anything. We have experts and the media telling us to go out and protest and not…
Read More
Posted inCulture

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

There are 1000 different things going on, and which threads are relevant? Which aren't? Who are the players? Let's start with the far left, the so-called progressive wing. These are…
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The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War
Posted inCulture

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

Insurrectionists in Seattle have created an "autonomous zone". Many laugh about this. They shouldn't. The sniveling fools in official charge of that city---those that are not actively complicit in the…
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The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM
Posted inCulture

The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM

The cult is growing and strength and number. Most of our leaders cannot stand against it, being either cowards, true converts, or in on the would-be color revolution. It is…
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Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: In What Way Poverty Is Good
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: In What Way Poverty Is Good

Previous post. The long and complicated arguments for and against poverty continue. There are arguments that will be countered next week. IN WHAT WAY POVERTY IS GOOD 1 So, then,…
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The Month In Doom — End Of Civilization Edition
Posted inCulture

The Month In Doom — End Of Civilization Edition

It's been a while since our last Doom. It wasn't needed. We had three solid months of the coronavirus of Doom. Then ten days of Riot Doom and the people…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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