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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Sad End Of Radio
July 3, 2025
Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!
July 2, 2025
Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)
July 1, 2025
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
June 30, 2025
Class 56: The Best Model!
June 26, 2025
Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification
June 25, 2025
England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women
June 24, 2025
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
Posted inStatistics

The Sad End Of Radio

Posted by By Briggs July 3, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!

Posted by By Briggs July 2, 2025
Continue Reading
Goldman Sachs To Require Diversity On Boards Before Opening Money Bags
Posted inCulture

Goldman Sachs To Require Diversity On Boards Before Opening Money Bags

Diversity Oaths, of a sort, have, as I predicted, spilled out of academia and into the boardroom. Here's the headline: Goldman to Refuse IPOs If All Directors Are White, Straight…
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New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”
Posted inStatistics

New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”

Sandhya Kajeepeta, who, like myself, boasts of a "(grating) Michigan accent", tweeted "We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe. In this new @AMJPublicHealth paper…
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The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…
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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

Previous post. Next week we begin what the laws themselves are. THAT THE DIVINE LAW PRINCIPALLY ORDERS MAN TOWARD GOD 1 From this conclusion we may gather what it is…
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The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition

Item LGBTQ education is now mandatory in N.J. schools For a high school history assignment on the Holocaust, Olivia Loesch chose the pink triangle, used by the Nazis to persecute…
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We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity
Posted inCulture

We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity

I realized after I wrote this that it could stand for my mandatory Diversity statement. We want Truth and Reality to be represented in academia. We certainly don't need racial…
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On Cause In Probability Models
Posted inStatistics

On Cause In Probability Models

Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
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  1. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

  2. CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

  3. The True Nolan on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

  4. Cary Cotterman on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…

  5. Cloudbuster on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    "(Note: I was going to recommend Zman for his tight and disciplined podcasts. Alas, this good man died before his…

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