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William M. Briggs

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The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science
Posted inStatistics

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
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On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
Posted inStatistics

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
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Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II
Posted inStatistics

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
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Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science
Posted inStatistics

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

I don't often discuss cheating in science, because the conclusion "It's bad, don't do it" doesn't need explication. Even those cheating are clever enough to swear to the conclusion's truth.…
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Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

My heart soared like a hawk by the hundreds of supportive comments I got on Twitter from last week's story about two academics who want government to genetically modify ticks…
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Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic
Posted inStatistics

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

The title today is identical to the peer-reviewed paper of the same name in Theory and Society by BVE Hyde. Hyde begins: "This study begins by outlining the transparency paradox:…
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Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1
Posted inStatistics

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

A guy correctly "sees" 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video https://youtu.be/_mgOCfEkIWQ…
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Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science
Posted inStatistics

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

What do you make of this headline? "Female pilots perform better under pressure, study finds". Story opens thusly: Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure flight situations, according…
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  1. JH on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 9, 2026

    The right answer to any and all questions much always include this: the mind of the author of the questions.…

  2. C-Marie on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    Very fun, Matt!! God bless, C-Marie

  3. Philip Rogan on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    May be showing my lack of IQ: 2 + 2 = 4; 4 x 2 = 8. 5 + 5…

  4. NLR on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    You explained the point clearly, that any question involves assumptions about its meaning and how it should be answered. If…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    In the absence of knowing if the author intended some more complex formula, and what it might be, the simplest…

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