William M. Briggs

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone

Previous post. A good reminder "cult" has changed in meaning over time. Latria = highest kind of worship. Why we worship God is in #5 below. THAT THE CULT PROPER…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition

Item Let's Call It Trumpvirus: If you're feeling awful, you know who to blame (New York Times op ed) Yeah, when you think of Mike Pence you maybe don't think…

Culture

Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Mentita est iniquita sibi... Iniquity, as always, lies to itself. And then to everyone else. Eastern Orthodoxy is no exception. Because it is a deception, masquerading as a belief. As…

Culture

Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail

Conservatism, as we have long discussed, is dead. Though perhaps it doesn't seem that way, because its corpse is seen ambling about with a caring look on its decomposing face.…

Culture

Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested

Rod Dreher (I know, I know) had an article in which he explains his forbidden love with Moldbug, concluding "A couple of things he said made me realize that his…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…

Philosophy

The Impossibility of Star-Trek Like Transporters

According to SyFy Magazine there was an episode of Star Trek: The Woke Generation (Kirk ≫ Picard) in which Riker was transporting himself to the ship, but where a mysterious…

Uncle Mike on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 25, 2026
C-Marie, for you to look up on this special day: "Chaire Kecharitomene"
C-Marie on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 25, 2026
Maybe sooner, is our individual going home to Heaven!! God bless, C-Marie
Brian (bulaoren) on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
@Lucy Tucker I'm not sure what your ?s refer to. My comment was related to an old doctor's joke; A…
Lucy Tucker on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
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Lucy Tucker on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
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William M. Briggs

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone

The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition

Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail

Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The Impossibility of Star-Trek Like Transporters

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification