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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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Posted inStatistics

How The 95% IPCC Certainty Falls To The Ground

Busy times at the Briggs ranch. The Evidence series will continue next week. For now, some IPCC fun. The Consensus says its 95% sure that the man has caused the…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Armed EPA Ignores Subpoena, Conducts Secret Science, More!

Call the EPA's rule-making Nancy-Pelosi science: you must first pass the regulations before you find out the evidence for them. No: That's not quite right. Because even after its regulations…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II

Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…
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Posted inStatistics

The Political Science Of The IPCC

Since the IPCC festival begins this week, I'm alternating posts like this with the series started yesterday. In this thing called Science, just as in other human affairs, one can…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part I

This is going to start slow, unwind at a leisurely pace, and finish, for some, with a depressing conclusion, though we won't get there today. Here's the setup. You've invented…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
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  1. John Pate on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 13, 2026

    Supposedly AI is making everyone dumber. We can achieve equality via AI, there's nothing it can't do.

  2. John Pate on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 13, 2026

    Qualia are the key to intelligence and not epiphenomena. Fancy auto-complete will never think.

  3. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  4. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  5. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

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