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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 101: Entropy Part II
November 12, 2026
Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)
November 11, 2026
Science Is Becoming Feelings
November 9, 2026
Class 100: Watch The Skies! But Only During Nuclear Tests?
November 5, 2026
After The Elections, The Book
November 4, 2026
The Solution To Evolution
November 2, 2026
Class 99: Entropy Part I
October 29, 2026
Book Update: Launch Date
October 28, 2026
Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
October 26, 2026
Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
October 22, 2026
I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
October 21, 2026
Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
October 19, 2026
Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 101: Entropy Part II

Posted by By Briggs November 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)

Posted by By Briggs November 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values
Posted inStatistics

Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values

We last did third-hand smoking back in 2011. Even then I didn't think the concept would far. How silly can you get? Pretty silly. Thanks to Dan Hughes we have…
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Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die
Posted inStatistics

Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die

I didn't have a chance to put this in yesterday's update, but I've been asked to do it. It's a classic in every 101 biostat textbook to do Bayes theorem…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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UN Rapporteur: Give Up Your Religion, Embrace Expert-Certified UNreligion
Posted inCulture

UN Rapporteur: Give Up Your Religion, Embrace Expert-Certified UNreligion

I don't know the Maldivian word for cohones, but Maldivian UN Special Rapporteur Ahmad Shaheed got him some heuvos grande. Shadheed says any who follows a religion should ignore that…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Even Private Acts Can Be Sinful
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Even Private Acts Can Be Sinful

Previous post. Getting away with it in private won't cut it. THAT DIVINE LAW ORDERS MAN ACCORDING TO REASON IN REGARD TO CORPOREAL AND SENSIBLE THINGS 1 Now, just as…
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The Week In Doom — Gendering Jesus Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Gendering Jesus Edition

Item What Finding Jesus' Private Parts in the Turin Shroud Says About Faith (Tip from Beckett Basketcase) Newly published scientific investigations into the Turin Shroud have identified the outline of…
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Everything You Know Is Wrong — Book Excerpt! There Is No Wisdom In Crowds
Posted inFun

Everything You Know Is Wrong — Book Excerpt! There Is No Wisdom In Crowds

The most controversial book of the year is still on its way! I found two other publishers willing to give it a look, and they're reviewing it now. If they…
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Proof That Music Is Growing Worse
Posted inCulture Statistics

Proof That Music Is Growing Worse

This post originally ran 28 September 2011, and is in the top 20 of all posts. If I ever do it again, there is much I'd expand on. The basic…
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  1. Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026

    Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.

  2. John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.

  3. Bill Hankel on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, time to stock up on necessities.

  5. Cary Cotterman on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    I'm still laughing about "Debolina".

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