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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Forget Randomization
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Forget Randomization

I am only six months behind in answering thoughtful emails from readers. Here is one from Stephen Puryear: Dr. Briggs, please go back and elaborate on your ideas about why…
Read More
A Stirring Spirited Speech: Bronze Age Mindset — Reviewed
Posted inBook review Culture

A Stirring Spirited Speech: Bronze Age Mindset — Reviewed

Lo, the day is coming, blazing like an oven, when all the proud and all evildoers will be stubble, and the day that is coming will set them on fire,…
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Pope To Critics: You Are Literally Ecocidal Hitlers
Posted inCulture

Pope To Critics: You Are Literally Ecocidal Hitlers

Da Pope: According to Pope Francis, acts such as the massive pollution of air, land and water resources, large-scale destruction of flora and fauna, and any action capable of producing…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: How Psychics & Witches Really Work
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How Psychics & Witches Really Work

Previous post. We're not talking abracadabra here, but the real workings of supernatural, somethings called paranormal, powers. WHERE THE PERFORMANCES OF THE MAGICIANS GET THEIR EFFICACY 1 Now, it remains…
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The Week In Doom — Height Dysphoria Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Height Dysphoria Edition

Item Don Cherry Fired From 'Hockey Night In Canada' After 38 Years Over Immigrant Remarks "You people ... you love our way of life, you love our milk and honey,…
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Science Pozzed — Data Equality Edition: #waSTEMsummit Update
Posted inCulture

Science Pozzed — Data Equality Edition: #waSTEMsummit Update

What science once was, it is no longer, as this on-going series demonstrates. Today, something which seems small, but which, alas, is not: the insinuation of the evil idea of…
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The Lessons Of Clovis And His Anti-Arian Army: Part I– Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Lessons Of Clovis And His Anti-Arian Army: Part I– Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Did you ever play bumper-cars? Where you could make all kinds of idiot turns and cross all lanes, and ram people head on, without fear of any real damage? Where…
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The Sorrow  And The Pity Of P-values
Posted inStatistics

The Sorrow And The Pity Of P-values

Thanks to the Wrath of Gnon, we have this report: Sorry, wrong number: Statistical benchmark comes under fire, from Phys.org. Earlier this fall Dr. Scott Solomon presented the results of…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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