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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Posted by By Briggs May 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Let’s Talk About The Trans Movement: Part II — Guest Post by Gaudia Certaminis
Posted inCulture

Let’s Talk About The Trans Movement: Part II — Guest Post by Gaudia Certaminis

Read Part I. The female trans experience (F2M) differs somewhat from the male trans experience (M2F). Furthermore, the elementary school-age trans experience differs from the teen or the young adult…
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How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion
Posted inCulture Statistics

How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1176231980159160322 We've talked many times about how the child Greta Thunberg from the depths of Europe is ignorant of all atmospheric physics. Ignorant, as in she knows nothing. She couldn't…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: How God Can Act Apart From Providence
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How God Can Act Apart From Providence

Previous post. There are not objections about God "changing his mind". Language in scripture can be metaphorical and figurative, just like in other literature. HOW GOD CAN ACT APART FROM…
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The Week In Doom — Vagina Museum Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Vagina Museum Edition

There was vastly more Doom this week, a definite acceleration, so than I could only fit a fraction of the worst in. There will be a separate article on the…
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Number Of Realist-Traditionalist Professors Dwindling Fast
Posted inCulture Statistics

Number Of Realist-Traditionalist Professors Dwindling Fast

Mitchell Langbert has some statistics of interest in the latest issue of Academic Questions. Homogenous: The Political Affiliations of Elite Liberal Arts College Faculty. The picture which heads the post…
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Elite Occult Practices Becoming More Open: From The Georgia Guidestones To The Illuminati Ball
Posted inCulture

Elite Occult Practices Becoming More Open: From The Georgia Guidestones To The Illuminati Ball

The mystery behind the Georgia Guidestones appears as if it will never be solved. The one man who might be able to provide some clues isn't talking, and at eighty-nine…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are P-Values?

Contributor William Raynor sets us a task: Hi Matt, ...I'd still like to see if you can write a column about what an empirical p-value really is without mentioning the…
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Corruption Of All Authority: An Interim Doom Report
Posted inCulture

Corruption Of All Authority: An Interim Doom Report

"Any organization not explicitly right-wing sooner or later becomes left-wing." This is, as everybody knows, Conquest's Second Law. It is a true law, as all modern experience shows. But it…
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  1. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  2. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  3. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  4. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  5. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

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