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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
The Great Protest In England Draws To A Close
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Great Protest In England Draws To A Close

Have you heard this? Only 1% of people aged 18-24 identify as Church of England, according to the British Social Attitudes (BSA) survey for 2018. Even among over-75s, the most…
Read More
Script Leaked From New 007 Movie, <em>Leap Into The Dark</em>
Posted inFun

Script Leaked From New 007 Movie, Leap Into The Dark

Apparently this is what they call a treatment, or a partial script, and only goes to the end of Act I. I am sworn to keep secret how I came…
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Summary Against Modern Thought:  The Stars Don’t Make Our Choices
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Stars Don’t Make Our Choices

Previous post. There is no point to reading your horoscope. THAT THE MOTION OF A CELESTIAL BODY IS NOT THE CAUSE OF OUR ACTS OF CHOICE BY THE POWER OF…
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The Week In Doom — Tranny Madness is Big Business Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Tranny Madness is Big Business Edition

As regular readers know, it's impossible to keep up with all the Doom in one week. Use the contact form to send me things you think I might miss. Or…
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Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty
Posted inClass Statistics

Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty

Let's drag the statistician's hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we…
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Your Most Important Choice: Part III — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Your Most Important Choice: Part III — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Read Part II Let's set the context for the word according to Islam. Christianity, at the time of Mohammed, had eclipsed Judaism (of any form) as well as the religion(s)…
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Paper Says Some Psychiatric Diagnoses “Scientifically Meaningless”
Posted inStatistics

Paper Says Some Psychiatric Diagnoses “Scientifically Meaningless”

The title is an understatement: Heterogeneity in psychiatric diagnostic classification. This is a paper in Psychiatry Research by Kate Allsopp, John Read, Rhiannon Corcoran, and Peter Kinderman. Abstract (to which…
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The Myth Of Physicalism — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

The Myth Of Physicalism — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Physicalism is an extreme form of materialism that says that only physical entities exist. This differs from more moderate forms of materialism like property dualism or emergentism where immaterial entities…
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  1. John M on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    My old brain still wants to read the acronym as the name Al (lower case L). That's why I like…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    Can there be an "Artificial Intelligence" that does not contain "Artifacts"?

  3. km on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 3, 2026

    What happens if you choose not to participate?

  4. Briggs on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    Gareth, And thanks for the comment.

  5. gareth on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    You said "and thanks for listening". To which my reply is "and thanks for doing" (many fold) I'm only half…

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