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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom — Out-Of-Control Matriarchy Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Out-Of-Control Matriarchy Edition

Item I have it on good report a high school has eliminated its year-end speech by the Valedictorian and substituted one by the "most popular student". (I am not naming…
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Traditional Christianity All But Kaput In Western Europe, And Even USA
Posted inCulture

Traditional Christianity All But Kaput In Western Europe, And Even USA

Couple of new surveys. One from Pew shows that only about one out of five Europeans attend services "monthly or more". Now this is very crude, usable only with caution,…
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On Islam, Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

On Islam, Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

A billion words have been written since Islam awoke from her 300-year slumber in 1983. Almost all of those words have sought to explain away the actions of 'radical' Islam.…
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Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid
Posted inClass Statistics

Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid

Look at the picture, which is real data, but disguised to obscure its source. It is a physical measurement taken monthly by a recognized authority. The measurements are thought to…
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The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ

That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody…
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High School Paper Celebrates Young Woman Prostituting Herself
Posted inCulture

High School Paper Celebrates Young Woman Prostituting Herself

This story began as an item in our weekly catalog of doom, but I thought it important enough to raise to post-level. We have a high school newspaper writing a…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Providence Applies To All
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Providence Applies To All

Previous post. There is no escaping providence. THAT GOD'S PROVIDENCE APPLIES IMMEDIATELY TO ALL SINGULARS 1 Now, some have conceded that divine providence extends to singulars, but through certain intermediary…
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The Week In Doom — Pedophilia Is An Orientation Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Pedophilia Is An Orientation Edition

Item The purge of Dr Seuss has begun 'Take home a n***** for your woodpile.' Children's author Dr. Seuss once wrote shockingly racist and misogynistic cartoons and REFUSED to apologize…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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