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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
It’s White Male Privilege Week!
Posted inCulture

It’s White Male Privilege Week!

It's White Privilege Week! What are you doing to celebrate? Twitter started off a day early by forcing the tag #MyWhitePrivilege to trend. As the multitude of links in this…
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Summary Against Modern Thought:  Divine Providence Does Not Exclude Contingency
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Providence Does Not Exclude Contingency

Previous post. God exists. And so does secondary causes. And, next week, it is proved So does your freedom! THAT DIVINE PROVIDENCE DOES NOT EXCLUDE CONTINGENCY FROM THINGS 1 Just…
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The Week In Doom — Fly The Woke Skies Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Fly The Woke Skies Edition

Item https://twitter.com/Outsideness/status/1109692450153484288 Yep. Item This is how homophobia feels. The link is only for the strong of stomach. It goes to a BBC clip showing two men engaged in perversion…
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The Spirit World Is Alive And Well And Surrounds Us
Posted inPhilosophy

The Spirit World Is Alive And Well And Surrounds Us

I ever tell you this story? This is Detroit when I was a boy, maybe 5. Sunday, watching golf on TV with my dad, my mom in the kitchen making…
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Independent Rating Of University Degrees
Posted inCulture

Independent Rating Of University Degrees

The University of Akron is, so this story says, offering to buy out half of is faculty. Half. How many administrators it will buy out or fire is not said.…
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An Argument Against The Multiverse
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

An Argument Against The Multiverse

The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…
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The Anti-Christian New York Times Says God Not Coherent
Posted inPhilosophy

The Anti-Christian New York Times Says God Not Coherent

That the New York Times is anti-Christian is obvious enough. Most of its founders, leaders, and top employees are not Christian, and thus the paper naturally has an in-built bias,…
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Non-Empirical Confirmation Of Theories
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Non-Empirical Confirmation Of Theories

Difficulties "Fundamental physics today faces the problem that empirical testing of its core hypotheses is very difficult to achieve and even more difficult to be made conclusive," says Richard Dawid…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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