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Latest Articles
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs March 5, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Posted by By Briggs March 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Growing Interest In Non-Human Rights
Posted inCulture

Growing Interest In Non-Human Rights

You might have to seek consent the next time you want to dip your skinny-dipping toe in the waters of the great Lake Erie. The lunatic denizens of Toledo, Ohio,…
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Summary Against Modern Thought:  God Does Not Eliminate The Need For Science 1
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Does Not Eliminate The Need For Science 1

Previous post. This is a very large, but not especially difficult, Chapter, so we'll bust it into two parts. ON THE OPINION OF THOSE WHO TAKE AWAY PROPER ACTIONS FROM…
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The Week In Doom — State-Mandated Sodomy Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — State-Mandated Sodomy Edition

Item Canadian doctors tell father they will inject his 14-year-old daughter with male hormones for transition without his permission It would be wrong, and probably illegal, to say that the…
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<em>The Magician and the Cardsharp</em> — by Karl Johnson
Posted inBook review

The Magician and the Cardsharp — by Karl Johnson

This post, which could use some better writing, originally ran on 5 June 2009. But it's a lot of fun. The Magician and the Cardsharp: The Search for America's Greatest…
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Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…
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Orthodoxy’s War: Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Orthodoxy’s War: Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Prologue I've always thought that the concept of nuclear power was spooky. The whole idea of messing with the essential stability of the material world was eerie. The idea that…
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Another AI Exaggeration: It Can Say Why There Is Religious Conflict
Posted inStatistics

Another AI Exaggeration: It Can Say Why There Is Religious Conflict

Dear reader, though you won't believe it, there is such a thing as the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. When you search its name, Google shows you this:…
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Hell & Heaven Are Real — Act Accordingly
Posted inPhilosophy

Hell & Heaven Are Real — Act Accordingly

I went to my first ever Russian Byzantine Catholic mass on Sunday, and very much enjoyed among other things the priest's homily, which---miracle!---did not shy away from the key message…
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  1. William Wallace on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 6, 2026

    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

  2. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  3. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  4. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  5. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

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