William M. Briggs

Do Not Fear Being Called An Isolationist — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Trotsky proclaimed that the world needed 'permanent revolution.' Stalin countered that the Party needed 'socialism in one country' in order to survive. It was the Fox versus Frankenstein. Or, as…

Statistics

Does It Mean I’m Psychic?

Years ago I wrote and self-published for fun the book So, You Think You're Psychic? You can download a free PDF of it on the Books page. There's nothing wrong…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Ultimate Happiness Does Come In Knowing Separate Substances

Previous post. We're closing in on ultimate happiness! You didn't think it would be easy, did you? A short chapter this week. But an important one. See paragraph 3 for…

Culture

Insanity & Doom Update XLVIII

Item Decline in the Fall (or Late Summer, Anyway): by Fred Gibbon This is Fred Reed at his curmudgeonly best. Item The Next Woman To Try Playing In A PGA…

Culture

On Israel’s Jewish New ‘Nation State’ Law

I am probably the wrong man to ask about Israel being named as an official Jewish state. My idea is that at least Jerusalem should be Christian. After all, Our…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…

Culture

Priests Oriented Toward Males & The New Crisis — Updates

There are no such things as "gays". There are no such as "heterosexuals", either1. There are men who have properly ordered sexual desires or, at times or for long periods,…

Culture

Regulate Information-Monopoly Tech Companies Before It’s Too Late

Hey. Did you know that people are putting chemicals in the water that turn the frickin' frogs gay? Tyrone B. Hayes and a group of others who wrote the scientific…

Johnno on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 21, 2026
" I have never been a conspiracy theorist, for the simple fact that keeping secrets with multiple (tens, hundreds, and…
Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
@Cary Motorcycle accident? No, that was due to covid.
Cary D Cotterman on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
In the mid '70s I was the janitor at Cal Tech's Kerkhoff Marine Laboratory, where they studied the effects of…
Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
I'm waiting for members of the California Coastal Commission to start disappearing.
Bill Hankel on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
Thank you for your application of common sense (and math!) to this issue. I have never been a conspiracy theorist,…

William M. Briggs

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Do Not Fear Being Called An Isolationist — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Does It Mean I’m Psychic?

Summary Against Modern Thought: Ultimate Happiness Does Come In Knowing Separate Substances

Insanity & Doom Update XLVIII

On Israel’s Jewish New ‘Nation State’ Law

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Priests Oriented Toward Males & The New Crisis — Updates

Regulate Information-Monopoly Tech Companies Before It’s Too Late

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification