Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/sWKPQTAU?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter…

There is in the Netherlands a concocted "nitrogen crisis", which has all the earmarks of a manufactured panic. I don't mean in the conspiratorial sense. I mean in the Expert-created…

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/MZXSWnmV?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for…

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…

How much credit, he asked rhetorically, will our side receive for being right about everything? The numbers are below the story. Last week, inspectors noticed certain instabilities and micro-fissures in…

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…