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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part III

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V We still have work to do. This is not simple stuff, and if we try and…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Homogenization of temperature series: Part II

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Aside: counterfactuals A counterfactual is statement saying what would be the case if its conditional were…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part I

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Introduction Time to get technical. First, surf over to Willis Eschenbach's gorgeous piece of statistical detective…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Just what are falling temperatures evidence of?

If increasing temperatures are consistent with or are evidence of global warming, what theory is consistent with or evidence of falling temperatures? Global warming, too? We have to ask this…
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Posted inStatistics

CO2 and Temperature: which predicts which?

Parts of this analysis were suggested by Allan MacRae, who kindly offered comments on the exposition of this article which greatly improved its readability. The article is incomplete, but I…
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Posted inStatistics

How to look at the RSS satellite-derived temperature data

It's already well known that the Remote Sensing Systems satellite-derived temperature data has released the January figures: the finding is that it's colder this January than it has been for…
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Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
Posted inStatistics

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

You will have heard that David Hume claimed ethical oughts cannot be derived from any factual is (empirical observation). This is called Hume's Guillotine, presumably for the great number of…
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  1. N.S. Palmer on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 17, 2026

    "Some moral beliefs are universally true because they are based on human nature. However, these beliefs are essentially factual beliefs:…

  2. PonderPoints on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedJuly 17, 2026

    You argue that Faggin is right to reject mechanistic emergence but wrong to award consciousness to every field or “seity,”…

  3. John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026

    I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.

  4. Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026

    I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…

  5. JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…

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