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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Posted by By Briggs May 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Posted by By Briggs May 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Science Says Chocolate Will Kill You & Cure You: So Will Everything Else
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Chocolate Will Kill You & Cure You: So Will Everything Else

I am moving the Class, which is rather specialized, to the end of the week. Credentialists are having a fit over the new regime whacking grant overhead and making other…
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Why Is The NYT Admitting the Covid Lab-Leak Theory Now?
Posted inStatistics

Why Is The NYT Admitting the Covid Lab-Leak Theory Now?

I am moving the Class, which is rather specialized, to the end of the week. Yesterday the New York Times, the written order-of-the-day for the old school left, put out…
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The Age Of The Victim Is Passing
Posted inStatistics

The Age Of The Victim Is Passing

Fr Robert McTeigue, SJ, host of The Catholic Current had me on last week. Show's title was Can Anyone Afford Feminism?  The answer is no. Today, an expansion of what…
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Magnetically Created Lesions In The Brain & Telekinetic Movement Of M&Ms
Posted inStatistics

Magnetically Created Lesions In The Brain & Telekinetic Movement Of M&Ms

Stick with me today, my friends. There is an important lesson buried in the madness, with a wider application than is at first apparent. A reader asked me to look…
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Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study
Posted inStatistics

Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study

Today a paper which proves my contention that governments ought to get out of the grant-making business. The "study" was funded by NIH, and conducted by "top" scientists at Harvard.…
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Class 42: Causal & Deterministic Models
Posted inStatistics

Class 42: Causal & Deterministic Models

The word to determine is ambiguous. It can mean ascertain or cause. The latter implies the former, but not vice versa. Knowing the full cause of things is our goal;…
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“Climate Change” Is Making People Live Longer!
Posted inStatistics

“Climate Change” Is Making People Live Longer!

Here's the panicky headline: "Long periods of extreme heat can accelerate biological age, scientists say". Longer periods of extreme heat has been found to accelerate biological age in older adults…
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David Hume’s Anti-Miracles Argument Is Poor
Posted inStatistics

David Hume’s Anti-Miracles Argument Is Poor

David Hume, as you know, wrote on miracles. He didn't like them. Which is to say, he didn't believe them. But then Hume didn't believe we could know any cause.…
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  1. Briggs on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    JohnK, Thanks. Rather depressing.

  2. JohnK on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Long time, no comment, but a few years ago I compared estimated stillbirth + abortion numbers (excluding miscarriages) in the…

  3. Stickler on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Men do not simply “allow” women to kill their children. They also demand it, drive or coerce them to the…

  4. John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…

  5. C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…

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