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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Latest Articles
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

Posted by By Briggs June 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Posted by By Briggs June 3, 2026
Continue Reading
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
Posted inStatistics

New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look

Can flu vaccine give you flu? New paper seems to say yes. Their conclusion: "the risk of influenza was significantly higher for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated state...yielding a…
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A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
Posted inStatistics

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
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Power Restored, Posts To Resume
Posted inStatistics

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

When the power came on, I was playing my cheap electric piano, and I had hit the wrong key. Which I hit more wrong than right ones, so that wasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

No posts, class. No power, no internet

Might be days or a week before back. More ice snow tomorrow. I won't see comments, so thanks for understanding.
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MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
Posted inStatistics

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies

No power at the Briggs ranch, so I won't see any comments. There are two meanings to zombie. The first are walking corpse, one of the rapacious undead who prowl…
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Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas?
Posted inStatistics

Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas?

This class is a must watch for all; or at least a must read. I've been showing you how badly cause is misidentified in sciences which use statistics. Today a…
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How To Claim Your Specialty Suffers From “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

How To Claim Your Specialty Suffers From “Climate Change”

I've told you innumerable times that scientists are good at finding evidence which supports their fancies, and just as lousy, or lousier because of their egos, than others when finding…
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Why Does Science Say Everything Will Kill You?
Posted inStatistics

Why Does Science Say Everything Will Kill You?

Everything, Science says, will kill you or ill you. Or cure you. Last week I gave readers homework to go to scholar.google.com and type in "X 'reduces' risk" (or 'increases')…
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  1. Chad Jessup on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    I am very happy for any information you post, so whatever suits your time and interests is fine with me.…

  2. Steve on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    The bikini rule -- less is more, but it has to cover all the important stuff. As with human bodies,…

  3. Heresolong on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    Yes.

  4. Jose Miro Julia on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    I'd prefer 3-4 short ones a week.

  5. Ivdas Machabevs on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026

    Longer, deeper, rarer.

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