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Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
December 29, 2025
Merry Christmas!
December 25, 2025
Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
December 24, 2025
Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
December 23, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs January 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Posted by By Briggs January 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Equality Motivates The Refugee Crisis

Nick Land, about whose views more in a moment, points us to Damon Linker about how Angela Merkel's German airplane has imperiled Europe. A real Messerschmitt. About the details you…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Intellectual Creatures & The Universe’s Perfection

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Why are…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Dangers Of Sam Harris’s Anti-Free Will View

Received this email from Justin. I've edited it only to correct the typos my enemies placed in my Inbox. Hi William, I am contacting you because you have a different…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…
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Posted inCulture

Islam Asleep, Islam Awake — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: Watt's previous essay generated quite a bit of controversy. Watt answers those criticisms here. As is clear, Erdogan has at least made the best of the coup. Well,…
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Posted inCulture

“I Believe In Science” — Which Is Not Believing In Much

Today's post is at The Stream: Hillary Believes in Science -- Which Isn't Saying Much. You just knew it was going to be a good night. Hillary shined on that…
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Posted inCulture

Pope: If I Speak Of Islamic Violence, I Must Speak Of Catholic Violence

The holy Koran says (sura 2 at 191) "And slay them wherever ye find them, and drive them out of the places whence they drove you out, for persecution is…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The First Cause Of The Distinction Of Things

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. This week:…
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  1. Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026

    Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…

  2. Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026

    Brilliant. Thank you.

  3. spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026

    You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…

  4. spetzer86 on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026

    Over 60, used to listen to AM all the time as a kid. Mostly WHO and other Des Moines stations.…

  5. Steve on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026

    Yep. Flyover, so during the daytime, there was only local dreck, but nighttime, KFYR (Bismark), KOMA (Oklahoma City), WLW (Cinncinnati,…

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