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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing
Posted inStatistics

Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing

There is an idea taking shape, vague but gaining strength, that good things are coming to Science. Science, I say, not academia. Only a cleansing fire will save academia. One…
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The Advent Of Lousy Music
Posted inStatistics

The Advent Of Lousy Music

In anticipation that many will be out, or in but out, today, no Class. Instead a topical post which ran originally on 6 December 2017. It will keep on running…
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Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

When Thomas Kuhn released his famous book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in 1962, it riled a lot of people. Mostly those who were wedded to the old way of…
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Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inStatistics

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Greetings Doomsters. I am graciously grateful to Brother Briggs for allowing me this gesture to you and for you in this histrionically historical moment during Advent -- quite possibly the…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

There is a new Research Shows paper on whether drugs like Ozempic (semaglutide) lower cardiac muscle mass. It makes a good lesson in how to read statistical claims. The paper…
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Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I
Posted inStatistics

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Today the math, which you don't strictly need if you can't calculate, behind how to think about Research Shows headlines and papers. This will be an invaluable exercise. You must…
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Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health
Posted inStatistics

Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health

This post is originally from 9 November 2012, twelve years ago. It warned of the coming health dictatorship and the zeal of Experts banning whatever displeased them. Whether it displeased you…
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The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing
Posted inStatistics

The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing

Since we'll soon be discussing cause in the Class, and nowhere is cause as difficult as it is in quantum mechanics, and because somebody recently reminded me of Scott Locklin's…
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  1. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  2. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  3. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

  4. _Jim on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    One gains a better understanding of the underpinnings of the grist (the extensions to the 'maths') behind QM (Quantum Mechanics)…

  5. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

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