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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
June 30, 2025
Class 56: The Best Model!
June 26, 2025
Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification
June 25, 2025
England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women
June 24, 2025
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Posted inStatistics

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Posted by By Briggs June 30, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 56: The Best Model!

Posted by By Briggs June 26, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Universities Crank Up The Insanity: Bad Grades For Saying ‘Illegal Alien,’ ‘Male,’ ‘Female’

Last week we learned the University of Tennessee came thisclose to forcing students to cease using he and she. Instead of standard English pronouns, the university at first "mandated", but…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has Will

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Short (edited)…
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Posted inCulture

University of Tennessee Tells Staff & Students To Stop Using ‘He’ & ‘She’

The University of Tennessee, Knoxville edition, has gone bat-guano bug-eyed blub-blub-blub bonkers and asked that staff and students to "stop using 'he' and 'she' - and switch to 'xe', 'zir'…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

There Is No Mercy Without Crime

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQcgcmZvv28 A man stands in the dock accused of murder. Killed a man just to watch him die. He's guilty. He knows he's guilty. The judge knows he's guilty. Everybody…
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Posted inFun

Dumbest & Most Frustrating Modern Invention Contest Winner Announced!

It's about time, too. Sorry for the delay. Been toodling around my land of birth and staying as far from the computer as possible. On 11 August I initiated the…
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Posted inFun

Turns Out, Cops & Donuts Do Mix

My sordid past is catching up on me. I thought if I shaved the moustache, died the hair, and even pulled some of it out, then I'd be able to…
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Posted inCulture

Social Justice Warriors! Marvel Announces New Movie At #HugoAwards

Marvel's new Social Justice Warriors! preview took the Hugo Awards by storm. And so did the team itself, who shocked and gratified attendees by using their mutant powers on the…
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Posted inFun

Lake Michigan Vacation Post

                                                  Contest winners announced this week.
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  1. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  2. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  3. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  4. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  5. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

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