Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…

I made this picture for my talk at the first ever public Broken Science event (videos coming soon): Everybody has heard the saying "correlation doesn't imply causation." Taken loosely, it…

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

Our latest misuse of statistics producing midwit science is found in the peer-reviewed paper "State-level anti-transgender laws increase past-year suicide attempts among transgender and non-binary young people in the USA"…

In my free and it-don't-cost-nuthin' class notes Breaking the Law of Averages (pdf), I have a homework question which goes something like this: Explain why, no matter the goodness of…

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…