From Bill Raynor: Hello Matt, You like to discuss P(Y|M) a lot, but haven’t spent much time talking about the practical construction of that. A topic I’d like to see: a constructive […]

Video Link The Epidemiologist Fallacy marries the Ecological Fallacy with the P-value Fallacy. The Ecological Fallacy is when it is said X causes Y, but X is not measured, and instead a […]

I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that’s out of the way, let’s get to the paper “Air pollution-induced missed abortion risk […]

The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): “Now we’re all here together tonight. […]

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I propose looking […]

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one’s goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or performance with […]