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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy

It Is Irrational to Believe in Science

This article only begins the subject; it does not end it. Atheists, beware the So’s-Your-Old-Man Fallacy. Belief in the absence of evidence is irrational. There is no evidence for believing…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stop Teaching Frequentism; More On That “Altruism” Study; Etc.

Freq Out Reader ECM points us to "The Great Statistical Schism", by a fellow named Brendon Brewer who "is a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistics in Auckland." Brewer…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Threat Of Global Warming Causes Terrorism

Today's post is at The Stream: Our Leaders Have Spoken: Global Warming Causes Terrorism. So global warming caused ISIS to dispatch a team of bloodthirsty satanic malevolent maniacs to Paris…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Moral Virtues & God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Thomas doesn't…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: Paris Open Thread (And Mizzou Tie In?)

Allahu Akbar Those who refuse to say "This is true" must fall to those who will. Hey, Paris, how's that assimilation thing going for you? Come to think of it,…
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Posted inCulture

Armed Students Take Over Cornell University

A group of militant black students at Cornell "occupied" Willard Straight Hall. They were armed with shotguns and other firearms with which they threatened violence. Why? To protest Cornell's "racist…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: The Joys of Divesting from Reality (And Not Just Oil)

Okay, sisters and brothers, only a handful of folks clicked over to the National Association of Scholars to read their must-read (but not-yet-read) report Inside Divestment: The Illiberal Movement to…
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Posted inStatistics

When Colleges Divest, Who Wins? Hint: Not The Colleges

I don't normally do this, but it's a special occasions. Here's a press release from the National Association of Scholars announcing the release of their report Inside Divestment: The Illiberal…
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  1. John M on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    My old brain still wants to read the acronym as the name Al (lower case L). That's why I like…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    Can there be an "Artificial Intelligence" that does not contain "Artifacts"?

  3. km on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 3, 2026

    What happens if you choose not to participate?

  4. Briggs on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    Gareth, And thanks for the comment.

  5. gareth on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    You said "and thanks for listening". To which my reply is "and thanks for doing" (many fold) I'm only half…

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