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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Will Is Not Chance

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We reach…
Read More
Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: A Mighty, Doom-Laden Seven Days

Thank You Sir, I'll Have Another Homosexual Activists Tell Kim Davis: 'We Will Kidnap Your Husband, Tie Him Up And Force Him To Watch Us Raping You. We Will Burn…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Lawrence Krauss Wants All Scientists To Be Militant Atheists

Krauss's biggest mistake in the first part of his "All Scientists Should Be Militant Atheists" article is to assume the (secular) government gets to decide right and wrong. Krauss is…
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Posted inBook review Culture

Stream: Sins of The Synod: Behind The Scenes at The Synod on The Family; Pentin’s New Book

Today's post is at The Stream: "Sins of The Synod: Behind The Scenes at The Synod on The Family". This is a review of Edward Pentin's must-read new book The…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Rhode Island Mandates HPV Vaccine, Tells Parents, “We’re The Government And Can Do What We Like”

I'm not sure what it is with lawmakers. Are they only interested in increasing control over citizens' lives? Or is it that in combination with ignorance? Let the Boston Globe…
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Posted inCulture

The Expansion Team Syndrome: SAT Scores & Science

What happens when a professional sports league expands? We talked about this before, but the obvious answer is that the average talent of the league decreases---for two reasons. The first…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Unknown Fallacy: Inflicting Your Views On Me

https://twitter.com/unknowncomic/status/639899682496454657 So a guy with a paper bag on his head, two holes cut for eyes and one for his pie hole, walks on stage, begins pumping his arms like…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On God’s Will

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. A quick…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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